A final update to WeatherTiger’s 2017 hurricane season update for August shows that an above normal year in terms of total activity and U.S. landfall risk is the most likely outcome. Key considerations including sea surface temperature anomalies, wind patterns, and steering currents are in relatively good agreement for this projection.
A look ahead to the 2017 hurricane season for April shows that a near normal year in terms of total activity and U.S. landfall risk is the most likely outcome. Uncertainty remains elevated at this lead time due to lingering questions on how El Niño will evolve in the coming months.
The 2016 Atlantic hurricane season is likely to have somewhat above average U.S. tropical cyclone landfall activity, as this winter’s El Niño rapidly gives way to a developing La Niña in the eastern Pacific. Yet, potential forecast pitfalls abound. Get the very latest, as well as a whole host of “Independence Day” references, from seasonal forecasting expert Dr. Ryan Truchelut.
The WeatherTiger outlook for the 2015 Atlantic hurricane season is for well below average landfall risks to the continental United States, especially with regard to major hurricanes, due to a developing strong El Nino event.
NEAR NORMAL SEASON EXPECTED IN ATLANTIC BASIN DESPITE DEVELOPING EL NINO, WITH SOMEWHAT BELOW AVERAGE RISKS OF U.S. LANDFALLS… The Quick Read The 2014…