El Niño Outlooks

A La Nina event is quickly weakening in the Pacific, and an upcoming westerly wind burst is likely to restore ENSO neutral conditions by early May. Our ENSO Whisperer April output forecasts that cool-neutral conditions are most likely to persist into the summer months, but redevelopment of a weak La Nina or emergence of a weak El Nino are both realistic possibilities based on both our modeling and current conditions in the Pacific.