El Niño Outlooks

El Niño Outlook for November 2018

With the ocean and atmosphere system now locking into a more coupled +ENSO pattern in October, our ENSO Whisperer model has nudged higher with the maximum strength of the event and longer with the duration of El Niño, which is now predicted to last into the spring while attenuating slightly.

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El Niño Outlook for January 2018

WeatherTiger’s January modeling is little changed from our previous several runs, continuing to suggest that La Niña peaks in January and begins to moderate in February, with neutral-negative conditions in March and April and true neutral conditions in May and June.