Tropical Outlooks

2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season Fall Outlook

Two factors have strongest historical relationship with late season tropical activity: Atlantic SSTs, and El Niño/La Niña state in the Pacific. Both Atlantic and Pacific support an extended hurricane season in fall 2021, but are fortunately not as favorable as they were in heading into late 2020.

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Decade-in-Review: The 2010s Hurricane Seasons & Predictions for 2020s

The 2010s were a decade of contrasts for Atlantic hurricanes. Despite darkest timeline storms like Sandy, Irma, and Michael, it was an era of remarkable luck for the continental U.S. coast. We’re taking stock of the 2010s and applying the lessons learned to understand what the U.S. can expect from the hurricane seasons of the 2020s and beyond.