WeatherTiger’s first look at the 2020 hurricane season is for a 50% chance of an above average year, with a 30% chance of near-normal and 20% chance of below-normal cumulative activity. The median of our forecast is about 145% of average hurricane season activity, or around 16 named storms, eight hurricanes and four major hurricanes.Read More
The 2016 Atlantic hurricane season is likely to have somewhat above average U.S. tropical cyclone landfall activity, as this winter’s El Niño rapidly gives way to a developing La Niña in the eastern Pacific. Yet, potential forecast pitfalls abound. Get the very latest, as well as a whole host of “Independence Day” references, from seasonal forecasting expert Dr. Ryan Truchelut.