Tropical Outlooks

April 8, 2021

Atlantic Hurricane Season First Look for April 2021

WeatherTiger’s first look at the 2021 hurricane season is for a 35-40% chance of a near normal year, with a 30-35% chance of below normal and 30% chance of above normal cumulative activity. The median of our forecast for 100% of average hurricane season activity, or around 15 named storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes.

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April 11, 2019

Atlantic Hurricane Season First Look for April 2019

WeatherTiger’s first look at the 2019 hurricane season is for near even chances of an above, below, or near normal year. The median of our forecast is about 105% of average hurricane season activity, or around seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes. This is slightly more aggressive than some other recently issued forecasts, likely due to our model’s skepticism towards the ongoing El Niño.