El Niño Outlooks

El Niño Outlook for December 2018

The equatorial Pacific remains in El Niño territory, a warmth continuing to be concentrated in the Central Pacific region. There has been a slow warming over the past several weeks, and Pacific warmth will likely peak over the next few months. The ocean and atmosphere system has been slow to lock into a classic +ENSO pattern, and our model has nudged lower with the maximum strength of the El Niño, which is now predicted to fade in the spring.

Read More

El Niño Outlook for February 2018

An eastern Pacific-based moderate La Niña event continues but has very likely peaked in intensity in December/January and is starting to weaken. WeatherTiger’s February modeling shifts slightly in the direction of a potential summer El Niño from our previous several runs.