El Niño Outlooks

El Niño Outlook for June 2023

An extended period of weaker or reversed trade winds will continue to drive warming and emergence of the subsurface pool of Central Pacific warm water, and the formal initiation of an El Nino event is likely in the next month.

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El Niño Outlook for May 2021

While the 2020-21 La Nina has not officially ended, observations show that the
central Pacific SSTs have reverted to near normal over the last few weeks, bringing
the event to at least a temporary end. Neutral ENSO conditions are likely to persist
through early summer.