The Pacific warmed slightly in November overall, but atmospheric and oceanic conditions still reflect a warm-neutral ENSO state. WeatherTiger’s ENSO Whisperer output expects that ENSO will stay in neutral conditions into early 2020, with El Nino odds increasing a bit into the spring months.Read More
El Niño Outlooks
After six months of limbo, the equatorial Pacific has belatedly tipped past +0.5C threshold, with atmospheric confirmation signals, marking an El Niño event. This event remains a weak +ENSO based in the central Pacific. No major further warming and a continuation of weak El Niño is the most likely trajectory over the next two months.