El Niño Outlooks

El Niño Outlook for August 2022

Nino3.4 SST anomalies moderated to around -0.5C below normal in early July, but an increase in trade wind strength has been restrengthening the event in the last few weeks. Nina conditions will remain in place through fall, with the pattern progression of last year’s event continuing to be a good guide for 2022’s trajectory.

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El Niño Outlook for September 2020

WeatherTiger’s ENSO Whisperer September output is a little more aggressive with La Nina strength than previous runs, but has not changed in terms of the maintenance of moderate La Nina into early 2021. Model confidence remains high through the forecast period.