El Niño Outlooks

El Niño Outlook for July 2021

True neutral ENSO conditions are in place in the Pacific, with SST anomalies in the Nino3.4 region drifting around zero in June and early July. Continued neutral or cool-neutral conditions are likely through the summer, and it is now clear that a new La Nina will not develop in time to influence the peak of U.S growing season.

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El Niño Outlook for April 2020

The Pacific has changed little in March and early April, warm-neutral anomalies remaining in place. Overall, global circulation patterns continue to reflect ENSO neutral conditions, with a slight lingering tilt towards Nino-ish influences as reflected by a strong subtropical jet.