El Niño Outlooks

El Niño Outlook for May 2016

El Niño has dominated global weather patterns thus far in 2016. However, based on trends in the last several weeks, the summer and fall of 2016 are extremely likely to be in the grasp of a developing La Niña event. Read on for the latest probabilistic forecast and a discussion of how summer temperature and precipitation anomalies are shaping up in U.S. growing regions.


El Niño Outlook for April 2016

El Niño has dominated global weather patterns thus far in 2016. But based on trends in the last four weeks, the late summer and fall of 2016 look to be in the grasp of a developing La Niña event. Read on for the latest probabilistic forecast and some discussion of how summer temperature and precipitation anomalies are shaping up in U.S. growing regions.


El Niño Outlook for March 2016

El Niño has weakened somewhat in the past six weeks, but the transition to La Niña conditions is proceeding more slowly than forecast. This means that wet and warm El Niño-like conditions are likely to generally persist through the planting season.