WeatherTiger’s August modeling shows a solidly neutral ENSO state through year’s end. Major changes to this overall outlook are not expected in the next 3-6 months, as there are seldom large shifts in the Pacific in the latter half of the year.Read More
El Niño Outlooks
The transition to at least weak atmospheric La Niña conditions is likely to gradually occur over the next one to two months. The slow evolution towards -ENSO further reduces chances of a strong La Niña developing over the winter of 2016-17.