El Niño Outlooks

El Niño Outlook for August 2017

WeatherTiger’s August modeling shows a solidly neutral ENSO state through year’s end. Major changes to this overall outlook are not expected in the next 3-6 months, as there are seldom large shifts in the Pacific in the latter half of the year.

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El Niño Outlook for August 2016

The transition to at least weak atmospheric La Niña conditions is likely to gradually occur over the next one to two months. The slow evolution towards -ENSO further reduces chances of a strong La Niña developing over the winter of 2016-17.