WeatherTiger’s October modeling has trended modestly cooler this month, with chances of at least a weak La Niña developing by December rising to well over 50%. La Niña is now likely to be strong enough to influence growing season precipitation distribution in South America, and potentially the U.S. winter pattern as well.Read More
El Niño Outlooks
Currently, the equatorial Pacific remains in a borderline weak La Niña state. However, the atmospheric measures of ENSO continue lagging the ocean, and though most of them have ticked a bit more towards Niña-like conditions in the past month, continuation of this trend is not certain.