The equatorial Pacific is in a neutral state, with atmospheric measures of ENSO divided between Niña and Niño-like patterns. WeatherTiger’s proprietary ENSO Whisperer is a little quicker to move the Pacific towards a weak El Niño, with the development of a weak or moderate +ENSO over the fall and winter of 2018 continues to be our preferred forecast solution.Read More
El Niño Outlooks
WeatherTiger’s August modeling shows a solidly neutral ENSO state through year’s end. Major changes to this overall outlook are not expected in the next 3-6 months, as there are seldom large shifts in the Pacific in the latter half of the year.