El Niño Outlooks

El Niño Outlook for September 2016

The transition to weak atmospheric La Niña conditions is no longer expected this fall. The chances of even a weak La Niña developing over the winter of 2016-17 are around 35%, with the most likely outcome as projected by WeatherTiger’s exclusive ENSO Whisperer forecast model four to six months of continued neutral-negative conditions followed by a spring trend towards true neutral patterns.